Caleb Martin projections

Caleb Martin's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Caleb Martin Dallas · age 31

Overall
−1.3
Offense
−1.5
Defense
+0.2

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-6-4-20+2age 26age 28age 30Todayage 32age 34age 36−1.2 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3282%age 3367%age 3452%age 3540%age 3629%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Caleb Martin is rated −1.0

  • −1.0 means his teams score about 1.0 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 279th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.2 there (162nd of 337), −1.3 on offense (314th of 337).
  • It's built on 900 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He's up 0.6 since opening night, when he was at −1.6.
  • He's playing about 18 minutes a game for Dallas, and last season he played like a low-usage role player.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Dallas's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −1.0

Dallas wins
37
Playoffs
20%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Dallas rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Shaun Livingston 2016-17 · age 31Then−0.7+1+0.7+2+0.3+3out+4out+5out
  • Thaddeus Young 2019-20 · age 32Then−1.9+1+1.3+2+2.4+3−1.2+4−1.2+5out
  • Josh Smith 2015-16 · age 30Then−0.7+1out+2−0.2+3out+4out+5out
  • Damien Wilkins 2009-10 · age 30Then−1.4+1−1.6+2−0.1+3−0.3+4out+5out
  • P.J. Tucker 2015-16 · age 31Then−0.4+1+1.1+2+2.0+3+1.0+4+0.9+5−0.8

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Dallas's odds and the rest of the roster

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.