Jarred Vanderbilt projections
Jarred Vanderbilt's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Jarred Vanderbilt LA Lakers · age 27
- Overall
- −0.2
- Offense
- +0.1
- Defense
- −0.2
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 2888% | age 2979% | age 3071% | age 3162% | age 3253% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.
Why Jarred Vanderbilt is rated −0.1
- −0.1 means his teams score about 0.1 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 201st best of the 337 players we rate.
- Most of it is offense: +0.1 there (176th of 337), −0.2 on defense (202nd of 337).
- It's built on 1,200 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
- He's about where he started the season (+0.1).
- He isn't in LA Lakers's rotation right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay LA Lakers's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: −0.1
Jarred isn't playing right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes and his rating can't move LA Lakers. Give him minutes on the team page to try it.
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- Dante Cunningham 2013-14 · age 27Then−0.1+1+0.5+2−1.7+3−1.1+4−0.9+5−2.6
- Lavoy Allen 2016-17 · age 28Then−0.2+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
- DeAndre' Bembry 2021-22 · age 27Then−0.2+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
- Maurice Harkless 2018-19 · age 26Then+0.6+1+0.6+2−1.0+3−0.2+4out+5out
- Jason Thompson 2014-15 · age 28Then+0.3+1−0.9+2out+3out+4out+5out
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- Ryan DunnPHX · +0.4
- Jake LaRaviaLAL · +0.6
- Jordan GoodwinPHX · +0.8
- Gary Payton IIGSW · +0.7
- Caleb MartinDAL · −1.3
See LA Lakers's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.