Bogdan Bogdanović projections

Bogdan Bogdanović's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Bogdan Bogdanović Houston · age 34

Overall
+0.6
Offense
+0.4
Defense
+0.2

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-6-4-20+2+4age 29age 31age 33Todayage 35age 37age 39−1.8 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3574%age 3656%age 3739%age 3825%age 3915%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Bogdan Bogdanović is rated +0.5

  • +0.5 means his teams score about 0.5 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 163rd best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +0.3 there (140th of 337), +0.1 on defense (171st of 337).
  • It's built on 550 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He's about where he started the season (+0.2).
  • He's playing about 11 minutes a game for Houston.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Houston's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +0.5

Houston wins
55
Playoffs
97%
Title
8%

Try it with the whole Houston rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Lou Williams 2019-20 · age 33Then+0.6+1−0.4+2−0.3+3out+4out+5out
  • Shaun Livingston 2018-19 · age 33Then+0.3+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Trevor Ariza 2017-18 · age 33Then+0.3+1−1.4+2−1.2+3+0.3+4−0.3+5out
  • Kyle Lowry 2020-21 · age 35Then+0.3+1+1.7+2+2.4+3−0.5+4−0.6+5−1.0
  • P.J. Tucker 2019-20 · age 35Then+0.9+1−0.8+2+0.8+3+1.5+4−0.8+5−1.2

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Houston's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.