Kelly Oubre Jr. projections
Kelly Oubre Jr.'s rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Kelly Oubre Jr. Indiana · age 30
- Overall
- −1.3
- Offense
- +0.4
- Defense
- −1.7
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 3184% | age 3272% | age 3357% | age 3445% | age 3534% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.
Why Kelly Oubre Jr. is rated −1.5
- −1.5 means his teams score about 1.5 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 310th best of the 337 players we rate.
- Most of it is offense: +0.3 there (140th of 337), −1.9 on defense (329th of 337).
- It's built on 1,750 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
- He's down 0.9 since opening night, when he was at −0.6.
- He's playing about 22 minutes a game for Indiana, and last season he played like a scoring wing.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Indiana's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: −1.5
- Indiana wins
- 30
- Playoffs
- 11%
- Title
- <1%
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- Jae Crowder 2019-20 · age 29Then−1.3+1+0.3+2+2.2+3+2.1+4−2.3+5−1.8
- Mike Miller 2008-09 · age 29Then−0.6+1−0.3+2−2.2+3+0.4+40.0+5−1.6
- Wilson Chandler 2017-18 · age 31Then−0.7+1−0.5+2−1.1+3out+4out+5out
- James Ennis III 2019-20 · age 29Then−0.6+1+0.3+2+0.7+3out+4out+5out
- Mike Scott 2017-18 · age 29Then−1.2+1−0.8+2+0.7+3+1.2+4out+5out
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- Terrence Shannon JrMIN · −1.0
- Kobe BrownIND · −2.1
- Jamal CainORL · −0.9
- Andrew WigginsMIA · −1.2
- De'Andre HunterSAC · −0.8
See Indiana's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.