Trey Lyles projections
Trey Lyles's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Trey Lyles Minnesota · age 30
- Overall
- +0.1
- Offense
- +0.4
- Defense
- −0.3
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 3184% | age 3272% | age 3357% | age 3445% | age 3534% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.
Why Trey Lyles is rated +0.2
- +0.2 means his teams score about 0.2 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 181st best of the 337 players we rate.
- Most of it is offense: +0.6 there (109th of 337), −0.4 on defense (244th of 337).
- It's built on 150 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
- He's up 0.4 since opening night, when he was at −0.2.
- He's playing about 18 minutes a game for Minnesota.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Minnesota's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: +0.2
- Minnesota wins
- 54
- Playoffs
- 96%
- Title
- 7%
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- Tyronn Lue 2005-06 · age 29Then0.0+1−2.1+2−1.6+3−0.5+4out+5out
- Michael Beasley 2017-18 · age 29Then+0.2+1−0.3+2out+3out+4out+5out
- Randy Foye 2013-14 · age 30Then−0.1+1−1.3+2+0.5+3−0.8+4out+5out
- Luke Ridnour 2009-10 · age 29Then−0.1+1−0.1+2−0.2+30.0+4−1.8+5−2.5
- Marvin Williams 2016-17 · age 31Then+0.1+1−0.1+20.0+3−0.4+4out+5out
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- Cam SpencerMEM · +0.1
- Luguentz DortATL · +0.0
- Bobby Portis Jr.MIA · −0.0
- Onyeka OkongwuATL · +0.1
- Jamison BattleTOR · 0.0
See Minnesota's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.