Reed Sheppard projections
Reed Sheppard's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.
Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.
Reed Sheppard Houston · age 22
- Overall
- −0.3
- Offense
- −0.0
- Defense
- −0.3
Past seasons, and the next five
Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.
Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.
| age 2388% | age 2484% | age 2580% | age 2674% | age 2771% |
Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.
Why Reed Sheppard is rated −0.5
- −0.5 means his teams score about 0.5 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 243rd best of the 337 players we rate.
- It comes from both ends: −0.1 on offense (218th of 337) and −0.4 on defense (241st of 337).
- It's built on 2,250 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
- He's about where he started the season (−0.2).
- He's playing about 21 minutes a game for Houston, and last season he played like a playmaking guard.
What if he plays better, or worse?
Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Houston's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.
Our rating: −0.5
- Houston wins
- 55
- Playoffs
- 97%
- Title
- 8%
Players who looked like him at this age
Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:
- Jalen Brunson 2018-19 · age 22Then0.0+1+1.1+2+2.1+3+2.1+4+1.9+5+4.6
- Kevin Huerter 2019-20 · age 21Then−0.5+1−1.9+2+1.0+3+2.5+4+1.4+5+1.4
- D.J. Augustin 2009-10 · age 22Then−0.2+1−1.3+2−2.5+3−2.1+4−1.3+5−1.0
- Marco Belinelli 2008-09 · age 23Then−0.2+1+0.5+2+0.8+3−1.1+4−2.5+5−0.1
- Delonte West 2006-07 · age 23Then−0.3+1−2.3+2+2.6+3+2.1+4−0.2+5−1.6
Playing like him today
The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.
- Bones HylandMIN · −0.9
- Tyrese ProctorCLE · +0.1
- Cam SpencerMEM · +0.1
- Egor DëminBKN · +0.5
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopePHI · +0.2
See Houston's odds and the rest of the roster
How the forecast works, and how often it's right
How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.