DeMar DeRozan projections

DeMar DeRozan's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

DeMar DeRozan Denver · age 37

Overall
−1.5
Offense
+0.4
Defense
−1.9

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-6-4-20+2+4age 32age 34age 36Todayage 38age 40−1.6 in 3 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3866%age 3938%age 4022%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season. Too few players have played this long to project further.

Why DeMar DeRozan is rated −1.2

  • −1.2 means his teams score about 1.2 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 296th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +0.6 there (111th of 337), −1.8 on defense (328th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,550 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (−1.1).
  • He's playing about 25 minutes a game for Denver, and last season he played like a scoring wing.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Denver's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −1.2

Denver wins
51
Playoffs
92%
Title
4%

Try it with the whole Denver rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Jamal Crawford 2016-17 · age 37Then−1.2+1−3.7+2−5.2+3−3.3+4out+5out
  • Kobe Bryant 2015-16 · age 37Then−2.1+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Carmelo Anthony 2020-21 · age 37Then−1.4+1−0.8+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Dwyane Wade 2018-19 · age 37Then−2.1+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Zach Randolph 2017-18 · age 36Then−1.8+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Denver's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.