Jeremiah Fears projections

Jeremiah Fears's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Jeremiah Fears New Orleans · age 20

Overall
−1.0
Offense
−0.1
Defense
−0.9

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4age 19Todayage 21age 22age 23age 24age 25+1.2 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2190%age 2285%age 2382%age 2480%age 2577%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Jeremiah Fears is rated −1.3

  • −1.3 means his teams score about 1.3 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 300th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: −0.2 on offense (224th of 337) and −1.1 on defense (298th of 337).
  • It's built on 2,300 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's down 0.6 since opening night, when he was at −0.6.
  • He's playing about 29 minutes a game for New Orleans, and last season he played like a scoring wing.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay New Orleans's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −1.3

New Orleans wins
33
Playoffs
6%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole New Orleans rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Dennis Smith Jr. 2017-18 · age 20Then−1.3+1−0.7+2−1.9+3−0.8+4−0.9+5−0.5
  • Jerryd Bayless 2009-10 · age 21Then−0.5+1−1.2+2−0.8+3−0.5+4−1.1+5−0.9
  • Emmanuel Mudiay 2016-17 · age 21Then−2.1+1−3.9+2−2.5+3−1.9+4out+5−0.7
  • Darius Garland 2020-21 · age 21Then−1.1+1+3.9+2+4.9+3+1.6+4+1.5+5+1.2
  • Lou Williams 2007-08 · age 21Then+0.3+1−0.8+2−0.6+3−0.5+4+0.8+5+0.2

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See New Orleans's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.