Aday Mara projections

Aday Mara's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Aday Mara Oklahoma City · age 21

Overall
+0.1
Offense
−0.3
Defense
+0.4

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4+6Todayage 22age 23age 24age 25age 26+0.9 in 5 seasons

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2290%age 2386%age 2482%age 2578%age 2675%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Aday Mara is rated +0.4

  • +0.4 means his teams score about 0.4 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 173rd best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.8 there (91st of 337), −0.4 on offense (251st of 337).
  • It's built on 150 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He had no rating before this season, so this one comes only from his games so far.
  • He's playing about 20 minutes a game for Oklahoma City.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Oklahoma City's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +0.4

Oklahoma City wins
59
Playoffs
99%
Title
17%

Try it with the whole Oklahoma City rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Kendrick Perkins 2005-06 · age 21Then−0.1+10.0+2+1.8+3+0.6+4+1.1+5+0.7
  • Brandon Ingram 2018-19 · age 21Then−0.1+1−0.2+2+1.2+3+2.6+4+1.1+5+0.8
  • RJ Barrett 2021-22 · age 22Then+0.2+1−1.6+2−2.0+3−0.3+4+2.0+5out
  • Frank Ntilikina 2019-20 · age 21Then−0.1+1−0.7+2+0.4+3+1.6+4+1.0+5out
  • Mike Conley 2008-09 · age 21Then0.0+1+0.8+2+3.2+3+3.5+4+4.9+5+3.3

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Oklahoma City's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.