Keon Ellis projections

Keon Ellis's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Keon Ellis Brooklyn · age 26

Overall
+0.2
Offense
−0.1
Defense
+0.3

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4age 23age 25Todayage 28age 30age 31−0.2 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2789%age 2881%age 2974%age 3066%age 3157%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Keon Ellis is rated +0.1

  • +0.1 means his teams score about 0.1 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 187th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.2 there (162nd of 337), −0.2 on offense (222nd of 337).
  • It's built on 1,650 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (+0.1).
  • He isn't in Brooklyn's rotation right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Brooklyn's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +0.1

Keon isn't playing right now, so the forecast gives him no minutes and his rating can't move Brooklyn. Give him minutes on the team page to try it.

Try it with the whole Brooklyn rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Rodney McGruder 2016-17 · age 25Then+0.5+1+0.6+2−0.2+3−0.4+4+0.2+5+0.4
  • Ryan Arcidiacono 2019-20 · age 26Then−0.4+1−0.5+2−0.8+3−0.6+4−0.1+5out
  • Sasha Pavlovic 2008-09 · age 25Then−0.5+1−2.7+2−2.8+3−1.2+4−0.3+5out
  • Daniel Gibson 2011-12 · age 26Then−0.1+1−1.6+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Dorian Finney-Smith 2018-19 · age 26Then0.0+1+1.6+2+2.3+3+2.3+4+1.1+5+0.3

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Brooklyn's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.