The Money Page

1990 · $5,000

It’s 1990. You’ve got $5,000.

Where do you put it? It’s a stock market game where you don’t pick stocks. You answer five questions about what you care about, and that turns into a plan. Every five years you see what happened and decide what to change. The returns are what really happened, year by year, through 2025.

The Berlin Wall came down two months ago and the Cold War looks like it’s ending. Banks are still cleaning up the savings and loan mess. Most homes don’t have a computer yet.

It takes about five minutes.

This is a game about history, not advice. Nobody knows what the next five years will do.

Yearly returns: Aswath Damodaran, Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills (NYU Stern), for big companies (S&P 500 with dividends), small companies (smallest tenth), cash (3-month Treasury bills), bonds (10-year Treasuries), real estate (US home prices) and gold. Tech: Kenneth R. French Data Library, technology industry portfolio.

Questions about investing in 1990

Are the returns real?

Yes. Every year from 1990 through 2025 uses what that kind of investment actually returned that year, with dividends and interest included. Nothing is made up or smoothed out.

Why don’t I pick stocks?

Because then the game would be about remembering which companies won. Kinds of investments let you play the way people really had to decide in 1990, without knowing how it ends.

What would $5,000 in 1990 be worth today?

It depends on where it went. In big US companies with dividends put back in, about $194,000 by the end of 2025. In cash, about $13,000. In tech, about $546,000, if you could sit through the 2000 crash.

What would $1,000 invested in 1990 be worth today?

In big U.S. companies with dividends put back in, about $38,800 by the end of 2025. In tech, about $109,000. Left in cash, about $2,700. Calculators that run past 2025 land a little higher.

Is this investing advice?

No. It’s a game about what already happened. Past returns don’t tell you what the next five years will do.