Ryan Conwell projections

Ryan Conwell's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Ryan Conwell Miami · age 22

Overall
−0.2
Offense
−0.2
Defense
−0.0

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4Todayage 23age 24age 25age 26age 27+0.6 in 5 seasons

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2388%age 2484%age 2580%age 2674%age 2771%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Ryan Conwell is rated −0.3

  • −0.3 means his teams score about 0.3 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 221st best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.3 there (156th of 337), −0.6 on offense (279th of 337).
  • It's built on 50 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He had no rating before this season, so this one comes only from his games so far.
  • He's playing about 10 minutes a game for Miami.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Miami's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.3

Miami wins
42
Playoffs
72%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Miami rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Al Horford 2007-08 · age 22Then−0.2+1−0.8+2+2.5+3+2.1+4+0.6+5+1.7
  • Kyle Anderson 2015-16 · age 22Then−0.2+1+2.1+2+1.7+3+1.1+4−1.4+5−1.1
  • Kevin Martin 2005-06 · age 23Then−0.3+1−1.3+2+0.3+3+0.1+4−0.5+5+0.4
  • Brook Lopez 2008-09 · age 21Then−0.3+1−2.0+2−1.7+3−0.8+4+2.2+5+1.0
  • Victor Oladipo 2014-15 · age 23Then−0.3+1+1.5+2+2.2+3+4.4+4+2.7+5+0.8

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Miami's odds and the rest of the roster

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.