Mikel Brown Jr. projections

Mikel Brown Jr.'s rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Mikel Brown Jr. Brooklyn · age 20

Overall
−0.3
Offense
−0.7
Defense
+0.4

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4+6Todayage 21age 22age 23age 24age 25+1.2 in 5 seasons

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2190%age 2285%age 2382%age 2480%age 2577%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Mikel Brown Jr. is rated −0.6

  • −0.6 means his teams score about 0.6 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 250th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.5 there (135th of 337), −1.1 on offense (303rd of 337).
  • It's built on 100 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He had no rating before this season, so this one comes only from his games so far.
  • He's playing about 23 minutes a game for Brooklyn.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Brooklyn's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.6

Brooklyn wins
26
Playoffs
3%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Brooklyn rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Aaron Gordon 2015-16 · age 20Then−0.3+1+1.1+2+2.1+3+1.2+40.0+5+2.2
  • Jordan Poole 2019-20 · age 21Then−0.2+1−0.1+2+2.4+3−0.5+4−3.2+5−2.6
  • Scottie Barnes 2021-22 · age 20Then−0.4+1+1.7+2+0.5+3+0.1+4+2.6+5out
  • Frank Ntilikina 2018-19 · age 20Then−0.2+1−0.1+2−0.7+3+0.4+4+1.6+5+1.0
  • Bam Adebayo 2017-18 · age 20Then−0.3+1+0.7+2+1.8+3+2.2+4+3.8+5+2.9

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Brooklyn's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.