Keaton Wagler projections

Keaton Wagler's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Keaton Wagler LA Clippers · age 19

Overall
−0.4
Offense
−0.9
Defense
+0.4

Past seasons, and the next five

-4-20+2+4+6Todayage 20age 21age 22age 23age 24+1.5 in 5 seasons

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2090%age 2186%age 2282%age 2382%age 2479%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Keaton Wagler is rated +0.0

  • +0.0 means his teams score about 0.0 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 188th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +0.8 there (91st of 337), −0.7 on offense (286th of 337).
  • It's built on 200 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He had no rating before this season, so this one comes only from his games so far.
  • He's playing about 24 minutes a game for LA Clippers.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay LA Clippers's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +0.0

LA Clippers wins
36
Playoffs
18%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole LA Clippers rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Scottie Barnes 2021-22 · age 20Then−0.4+1+1.7+2+0.5+3+0.1+4+2.6+5out
  • Bam Adebayo 2017-18 · age 20Then−0.3+1+0.7+2+1.8+3+2.2+4+3.8+5+2.9
  • Frank Ntilikina 2018-19 · age 20Then−0.2+1−0.1+2−0.7+3+0.4+4+1.6+5+1.0
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. 2019-20 · age 20Then−0.6+1−0.9+2+1.9+3+3.7+4+0.3+5+2.8
  • Aaron Gordon 2015-16 · age 20Then−0.3+1+1.1+2+2.1+3+1.2+40.0+5+2.2

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See LA Clippers's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.