Moritz Wagner projections

Moritz Wagner's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Moritz Wagner Brooklyn · age 29

Overall
−1.5
Offense
−1.1
Defense
−0.5

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-6-4-20+2age 25age 27age 29Todayage 30age 32age 34−0.7 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3085%age 3176%age 3263%age 3351%age 3440%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Moritz Wagner is rated −1.4

  • −1.4 means his teams score about 1.4 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 307th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • It comes from both ends: −1.2 on offense (309th of 337) and −0.2 on defense (205th of 337).
  • It's built on 550 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He's about where he started the season (−1.5).
  • He's playing about 19 minutes a game for Brooklyn.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Brooklyn's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −1.4

Brooklyn wins
26
Playoffs
3%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Brooklyn rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Carlos Delfino 2010-11 · age 28Then−1.6+1−2.7+2+1.7+3out+4out+5out
  • Brian Roberts 2013-14 · age 28Then−1.4+1−1.2+2−1.6+3−1.4+4out+5out
  • Steve Francis 2005-06 · age 29Then−1.5+1+0.3+2+1.0+3out+4out+5out
  • Stephen Graham 2010-11 · age 29Then−1.6+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Jamaal Magloire 2006-07 · age 29Then−1.3+1−1.2+2+0.7+3+0.3+4+0.4+5+1.5

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Brooklyn's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.