Herbert Jones projections

Herbert Jones's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Herbert Jones New Orleans · age 28

Overall
+2.8
Offense
+0.5
Defense
+2.3

Past seasons, and the next five

-20+2+4+6age 23age 25age 27Todayage 29age 31age 33−0.6 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 2986%age 3077%age 3168%age 3257%age 3347%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Herbert Jones is rated +2.9

  • +2.9 means his teams score about 2.9 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 27th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +2.5 there (7th of 337), +0.3 on offense (140th of 337).
  • It's built on 1,750 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's up 1.7 since opening night, when he was at +1.2.
  • He's playing about 23 minutes a game for New Orleans, and last season he played like a spot-up shooter.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay New Orleans's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +2.9

New Orleans wins
33
Playoffs
6%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole New Orleans rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Ronnie Brewer 2011-12 · age 27Then+1.7+1−0.1+2−1.5+3out+4out+5out
  • Kenrich Williams 2021-22 · age 27Then+2.1+1+2.3+2+1.5+3+2.4+4+1.2+5out
  • Alex Caruso 2020-21 · age 27Then+3.3+1+3.4+2+3.3+3+1.7+4+2.8+5+3.3
  • Cory Joseph 2019-20 · age 28Then+1.2+1−0.8+2−0.3+3−0.1+4−0.1+5+0.4
  • Elijah Millsap 2014-15 · age 27Then+1.7+1+1.2+2+0.1+3out+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See New Orleans's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.