Domantas Sabonis projections

Domantas Sabonis's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Domantas Sabonis Sacramento · age 30

Overall
+0.0
Offense
+0.6
Defense
−0.6

Past seasons, and the next five

Seasons back
-4-20+2+4age 26age 28age 30Todayage 31age 33age 35−1.0 in 5 seasons

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

Line: the typical path. Band: where 80% of players this age ended up. Rating is points per 100 possessions compared with an average player.

Still a rotation player
age 3184%age 3272%age 3357%age 3445%age 3534%

Share of players this age who were still playing 500+ minutes that season.

Why Domantas Sabonis is rated −0.3

  • −0.3 means his teams score about 0.3 fewer points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 220th best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is offense: +0.5 there (117th of 337), −0.7 on defense (275th of 337).
  • It's built on 800 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more. That isn't many minutes, so his rating can still move a lot.
  • He's down 1.0 since opening night, when he was at +0.8.
  • He's playing about 36 minutes a game for Sacramento, and last season he played like an interior big.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Sacramento's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: −0.3

Sacramento wins
22
Playoffs
<1%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Sacramento rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Mason Plumlee 2020-21 · age 31Then−0.4+1+0.9+2−0.5+3−0.1+4+0.9+50.0
  • Anderson Varejao 2012-13 · age 30Then+1.1+1+2.1+2+0.5+3−1.6+4−1.5+5out
  • Tristan Thompson 2021-22 · age 31Then+0.5+1out+2+0.7+3−1.2+4out+5out
  • Ruben Patterson 2006-07 · age 31Then−0.6+1+0.7+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Bonzi Wells 2005-06 · age 29Then+0.9+1+0.5+2−1.1+3out+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Sacramento's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.