Al Horford projections

Al Horford's rating today, where players like him usually go from here, and the players from the past who looked the most like him.

Ratings as of 2026-11-08. The typical path for each age comes from every season since 2005-06.

Al Horford Golden State · age 40

Overall
+1.1
Offense
+0.4
Defense
+0.7

Past seasons

Seasons back
0+1+2+3+4age 36age 37age 38age 39age 40Today

Grey: his rating at the end of each past season. A hollow dot is a season under 500 minutes, so that rating rests on less.

There's no forecast for Al at 40, because almost nobody has played this long. Since 2005-06, players 40 or older have put up only a handful of full seasons, too few to show where a 40-year-old usually goes from here.

Why Al Horford is rated +1.4

  • +1.4 means his teams score about 1.4 more points per 100 possessions with him than with an average player in his spot, after we account for who he plays with and against. That's the 93rd best of the 337 players we rate.
  • Most of it is defense: +1.0 there (69th of 337), +0.4 on offense (132nd of 337).
  • It's built on 1,100 minutes from this season and last, and the recent games count more.
  • He's about where he started the season (+1.3).
  • He's playing about 18 minutes a game for Golden State, and last season he played like a spot-up shooter.

What if he plays better, or worse?

Slide his rating to where you think it should be. We replay Golden State's season 2,000 times with him there and everyone else as they are.

Our rating: +1.4

Golden State wins
45
Playoffs
61%
Title
<1%

Try it with the whole Golden State rotation →

Players who looked like him at this age

Closest on offense, defense and playing style, within a year of his age. Their next five seasons:

  • Grant Hill 2011-12 · age 39Then+1.4+1+0.3+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Vince Carter 2017-18 · age 41Then+2.4+1−0.7+2−1.6+3out+4out+5out
  • Derek Fisher 2013-14 · age 39Then+1.0+1out+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Clifford Robinson 2005-06 · age 39Then−0.5+1−3.9+2out+3out+4out+5out
  • Jason Terry 2016-17 · age 39Then+1.1+1+1.5+2out+3out+4out+5out

Playing like him today

The current players closest to him in how they play and how good they are.

See Golden State's odds and the rest of the roster

How the forecast works, and how often it's right

How it works: every season-end rating since 2005-06, and what the same players did one to five seasons later. The typical change only counts players still in the league, so the line is a little rosier than reality for older players; the rotation-player row shows how many dropped out. Our ratings, built from play-by-play data. Not affiliated with the NBA.